Last Second Score Deals Villanova Loss in Wild Opener

NCAA Football Betting Lines

09/03/2010 - Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Once again it came down to a field goal.

Last year, Villanova kicker Nick Yako was afforded the opportunity to be the hero as he drilled a 32-yard field goal as time expired, giving Villanova a 27-24 win in the inaugural Mayor's Bowl at Lincoln Financial Field.

This year Temple kicker Brandon McManus was afforded that same chance, and like Yako the year before, he delivered in helping the Owls take a 31-24 victory.

This game had more twists and turns than an eight-foot python.

On the second play of the fourth quarter, Villanova quarterback Chris Whitney connected with Norman White for a 21-yard touchdown, giving 'Nova a 21-13 lead.

Following the touchdown, Villanova's offense dipped into a serious lull.

"I think their level went up and I think that we just tailed off some in the second half," said Villanova head coach Andy Talley. "I thought that we played better than they did in the first half and then suddenly they woke up and played a strong second half."

Temple's defense was indeed strong. Villanova went without a score for nearly 13 minutes in the fourth quarter. During that span, McManus hit a 40-yard field goal and quarterback Chester Stewart delivered a 62-yard strike to Michael Campbell, giving Temple a 22-21 lead with 4:07 remaining.

Villanova appeared down, but, as Temple head coach Al Golden knows, the reigning FCS champions are difficult to knock out.

"When you have that many veterans that do nothing but win over the last two or three years, which they have, they are tough to beat," said Golden in a post- game interview.

Villanova had certainly been on a roll, winning its previous nine contests dating back to October 10th, 2009. But with 3:30 to play, and Temple churning the ground and the clock to pulp, 'Nova's streak was in definite jeopardy.

Enter Stewart, who had been turnover-free until coughing up the football with 2:25 to play on his own 25-yard line.

Yako subsequently drilled the 41-yard field goal, giving Villanova a 24-22 lead, and with 1:51 to play it appeared Temple was now the team on the ropes.

Fittingly, in a city known for its beloved, browbeaten, ultimate survivor, Rocky, Stewart and Temple dragged themselves off the mat once more and executed a 46-yard drive which resulted in McManus' game-winning field goal, a 43-yarder that came with three seconds remaining.

"Obviously he won the game for us," Golden said of Stewart. "We had a quarterback that won in the two-minute drill. This time he did it after he made a critical error."

Although this was a tough one for 'Nova, Talley was sure to keep it in perspective.

"I think we played about as hard as we could," Talley said. "We had our chances and we had our opportunities to win the game and it sort of slipped away there at the end. I think we played as well as we could at this point in the season."

Talley makes a valid point. With other teams in The Sportsbook Betting Lines/Fathead.com FCS Top 25 taking on inferior opponents in week 1, Villanova confronted a Temple team that went 9-4 last season and played in its first bowl game in 30 years.

Still, it must be tough, as last year's thrilling Mayor's Cup victory acted as a springboard to a Villanova FCS championship season.

Last year's win over Temple was Villanova's first victory over an FBS opponent in its last six attempts. Previously, 'Nova's last FBS victory had come in 2003, over, guess who, Temple.

Unfortunately for the Wildcats, what last year Temple giveth, this year Temple taketh away.

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Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting

So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.

Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?

If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)

Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).

In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.

Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.

The Bubble Breakdown
CONFERENCE LOCKS SHOULD BE INS AT-LARGES TAKEN
(assuming no auto bid outlier)
ACC Betting Odds 6 0 5
Big East Betting Odds 5 0 4
Big Ten Betting Odds 2 2 3
Big 12 Betting Odds 3 0 2
Pac-10 Betting Odds 5 1 5
SEC Betting Odds 4 0 3
MVC Betting Odds 1 1 1
MWC Betting Odds 2 1 2
TOTAL 28 5 25

As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.

(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)

If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.

Atlantic Coast Conference

Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech

The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.

 

Work left to do:

Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.

Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).

Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.

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